Political tensions: Andry Rajoelina’s supporters mobilized in May 13th Square

Mis à jour le 22 May 2026

In 2026, the political situation in Madagascar remains deeply unstable, marked by escalating tensions between the opposition and the ruling power. The political scene, already weakened by successive crises, is now witnessing the fervent mobilization of Andry Rajoelina’s supporters, who have converged en masse on May 13th Square in Antananarivo. This gathering, which mobilizes several hundred supporters, takes place within a context of crisis and uncertainty where every crowd movement acquires strategic significance for the Malagasy political climate. These supporters, drawn primarily from the former president’s inner circle, continue to demand his return to power, denouncing what they call the current regime’s denial of democracy. This mobilization, driven by the intensification of the protests, demonstrates a clear rejection of the transition implemented by the interim government led by Colonel Michaël Randrianirina. Faced with these tensions, political stability is severely tested, and each demonstration becomes a marker of the fragility of the institutional order on the Big Island, exacerbating the crisis that Madagascar has been experiencing for several years.

The scale of the mobilization of Andry Rajoelina’s supporters: a stability issue for Madagascar For several weeks, the mobilization of Andry Rajoelina’s supporters in May 13th Square has been steadily growing, reflecting a deep unease within the anti-transition electorate. The determination of these supporters, nicknamed

“Andry Rajoelina’s Amazons,”

reflects a firm desire to see the historical leader reinstated. According to a recent report, several hundred of these supporters gather every Saturday to assert the legitimacy of a power they believe was usurped by a transition deemed illegitimate.

As these mobilizations unfold, the aim of these gatherings is to put pressure on the government and broaden the national debate around a democratic solution. In the current context, the confrontation between these supporters and the transitional majority is not limited to a simple protest movement: it is part of a broader dynamic that could pave the way for increased tensions or the potential destabilization of the country’s already precarious situation. These massive demonstrations, often fueled by impassioned speeches and strong media visibility, reinforce the impression of extreme polarization between two irreconcilable camps. The Role of Political Figures in the Mobilization Dynamics in AntananarivoKey figures in the Rajoelina support movement play a decisive role in the rise of this mobilization. Personalities such as Rinah Rakotomanga, technical advisor, and Marie Michelle Sahondraharimalala, former Minister of National Education, have positioned themselves as the spokespeople for this protest. These women, nicknamed

“Andry Rajoelina’s Amazons,”

For Marie Michelle Sahondraharimalala,

President Rajoelina remains the only legitimate leader of Madagascar.

By contesting the legality of the transitional regime’s actions, they declare that their leader must return to the center of power, a prerequisite for their participation in the national dialogue called for by the government, but only under conditions of their choosing. Holding this gathering, despite the risks, illustrates their determination to defend their vision of stability or a truly legitimate democratic transition.

Analysis of current political tensions, their causes, impacts, and future prospects.

Implications for Malagasy political stability: a deepening crisis Demonstrations, often considered an indicator of political tensions, reveal the deep divide within the country. Since 2025, Madagascar has been experiencing a constitutional and institutional crisis, fueled by growing protests against the transitional government. The recent resignation of some members of parliament from the IRMAR party, who have joined the presidential majority, illustrates a defection phenomenon that is dangerous for national cohesion. This disintegration of the traditional political front further complicates the search for a national consensus. The sectoral crisis, particularly in the economy, notably in energy and fuel management (see

tensions surrounding pending fuel supplies

), fosters a sense of abandonment among a bewildered population. The recurrence of these crises, whether security-related or economic, tends to entrench widespread distrust of all institutions, permanently undermining national stability. Protest Strategies and Their Effects on the International StageFaced with the visible signatures in the streets, the Malagasy government must now navigate between maintaining order and a contested legitimacy. International mobilization through statements from various organizations underscores a growing concern about the situation in the country. Several reports highlight that, in a crucial election year, Madagascar’s credibility on the international stage is at stake, impacting both foreign aid and political recognition.The recent

escapes and displacements of key figures

• demonstrate the fragility of internal stability. The international community, mobilized around the need for inclusive dialogue, nevertheless insists on preserving a democratic framework to avoid a scenario of a major crisis that could lead to foreign interference or total isolation.
• The economic and social challenges linked to the political crisis in Madagascar
• The political crisis is not limited to the institutional sphere but extends deeply into the national economy. The loss of investor confidence, combined with difficulties in fuel distribution and public sector management, weighs heavily on the population (Generation Z and its distrust of institutions). Precariousness is increasing, and the specter of social crisis has never been so tangible. To address these challenges, a list of priorities must be considered:
• Reform the institutional framework to strengthen legitimacy

Ensure transparency in the management of economic crises

Rising tensions, rejection of judicial institutions

Popular mobilization Supporters demand the return of Andry Rajoelina Increased pressure on national stability and legitimacy

The demands and proposals of pro-Rajoelina protesters The protesters, mainly supporters of the ousted leader, demand the immediate return of Andry Rajoelina

A concrete proposal emerges from this dynamic: the establishment of an inclusive transitional government, contingent upon the return of their leader. They reject the idea of ​​technocratic governance, believing that only a partial nationalization of power could guarantee genuine stability. Their major challenge, therefore, remains their ability to persuade and exert influence on the national stage to ensure their vision prevails in the context of an open crisis.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XVhgdyY9WNk

Analysis of current political tensions, their causes, impacts, and prospects to understand global geopolitical issues.

What is the main cause of the mobilization of Andry Rajoelina’s supporters in Madagascar? The desire of these supporters to demand the return of their leader, considered legitimate, in the face of the post-transition crisis, which is undermining the country’s stability.

What are the risks to Malagasy political stability associated with this mobilization?