In a Malagasy political context marked by chronic instability and a succession of institutional crises, political reform appears an imperative to guarantee the country’s long-term stability. Since his appointment as Prime Minister, Herintsalama Rajaonarivelo has embodied this desire to break with a past characterized by repeated failures. The government’s recent presentation of a strategic calendar illustrates a prudent and thoughtful planning approach aimed at establishing political renewal in Madagascar. This 24-month plan, implemented within the framework of the General State Policy (PGE), is based on in-depth reflection, particularly regarding the legitimacy of institutions, electoral transparency, and national reconciliation. The fragile economic situation, exacerbated by social crises and a flawed vision of governance, demands a structured approach to prevent the recurrence of these crises from leading to more serious tensions. The caution displayed in this government strategy reflects the complexity of the challenge, where each step must foster the gradual consolidation of institutions while uniting all stakeholders.

A structured strategic roadmap for sustainable institutional reform

The government, led by Herintsalama Rajaonarivelo, recently unveiled a precise timetable designed to guide Madagascar towards a new institutional era by 2026. During the presentation of the General State Policy (PGE), this roadmap was conceived as a tool to clarify the planning of major reforms, both political and electoral. In this context, the government strategy favors a gradual approach, structured around several key phases, each intended to establish solid foundations for political renewal. The stated aim is to demonstrate transparency while taking into account the fragile socio-political dynamics. The planning must also allow for flexible adaptation, incorporating feedback from an inclusive dialogue. To this end, a steering committee has been established, tasked with regularly assessing the progress of the processes, with a view to adjusting the timetable according to any challenges or unforeseen events that may arise.

Discover the issues and objectives of the political reforms aimed at improving governance, strengthening democracy, and promoting citizen participation.

A broad public consultation: the cornerstone of the reform

The first part of this strategy is based on a six-month public consultation. This step is intended to be the foundation of the process’s legitimacy, relying on the active participation of all regions and social strata of the country. The approach aims to gather and synthesize the population’s expectations, fears, and proposals, while restoring trust in public institutions, often undermined by successive crises. The consultation will be organized through regional meetings, allowing for a better understanding of local realities and challenges. This represents a true political catharsis, capable of broadening the national consensus around key policy directions. The success of this step, essential for any lasting reform, will depend on the government’s ability to unite a wide range of stakeholders, including those from civil society organizations, diverse religious communities, and local economic actors.

This policy of open dialogue should serve as a lever to initiate a constructive process that could eliminate the gridlock and divisions stemming from electoral disputes or institutional challenges. Can we hope that it will constitute a real turning point, or will we remain trapped by partisan strategies? The answer will largely depend on the government’s ability to scrupulously respect the expressed expectations and to translate collective reflection into concrete actions.

Electoral and legislative reforms: strengthening the legitimacy of institutions

A crucial step in this rebuilding process involves revising the electoral framework, notably through a thorough reform of the Independent National Electoral Commission (CENI) and the legal texts governing political life. Designed to guarantee greater transparency during elections, this step must also contribute to pacifying an electoral environment often disrupted by tensions and accusations of fraud. Between the sixth and twelfth months, experts and political leaders will have to develop a new body of legislation that conforms to international standards of good electoral governance. If this reform is not carried out rigorously, it risks encountering widespread mistrust, thus delaying the credibility of the electoral process. A cornerstone of this phase, the revision of electoral laws must promote transparency and fairness. To this end, the government plans to establish a multi-stakeholder committee, bringing together representatives of political parties, international organizations, and civil society. The ability to conduct this reform effectively will determine the success of the transition, as well as broad public support for the new Constitution, the next essential step for lasting change. The constitutional referendum: a decisive challenge for political renewal

The core of the strategic plan hinges on holding a referendum on a new Constitution, scheduled between the 12th and 15th months. Seeking a national consensus, this step is fundamental to realizing political renewal, particularly by avoiding the recurrence of past institutional imbalances. The new Constitution must embody a refounding of the State, establishing a more resilient balance between the executive, legislative, and judicial branches. If the majority of political and social actors agree on this overhaul, it could pave the way for a Fifth Republic designed for lasting stability and good governance. However, the success of this step requires broader support from diverse groups, which implies a colossal effort to convince the entire civil society and political parties.

Discover the challenges and prospects of political reforms aimed at improving governance and strengthening democracy.

  1. How can we guarantee widespread approval of a new Constitution in a context of heightened distrust of institutions? The answer lies in transparency throughout the process, ongoing consultation, and raising awareness of the importance of this step for the country’s future. Fears of potential manipulation of the election or the exclusion of certain groups must be absolutely avoided in order to lay the foundations for a legitimate and consensual state.
  2. Presidential elections and the peaceful transfer of power: challenges and strategies

Following the validation of the new Constitution, the presidential election must take place between the 15th and 18th months, marking the true step towards ending the institutional exception. The selection of the new head of state is a crucial step in realizing the political overhaul through exemplary democratic practices. Transparency, citizen participation, and adherence to the timetable will be key elements in legitimizing the process. The transfer of power must take place in accordance with democratic principles, without resorting to violence or intimidation.

Organization of a free and fair election Creation of a national consensus around the new president
Preparation for the stabilization of institutions The last six months will be primarily devoted to the peaceful transfer of power, essential for ensuring lasting stability and building public confidence in the seriousness of the process. This momentum must be accompanied by rigorous adherence to democratic principles, particularly in the handling of any potential electoral disputes. Stage Duration Key Objectives
Popular Consultation 6 months 🗓️ Gathering expectations, restoring trust
Electoral Reform 6 months 🗓️ Cleaning up the electoral environment
Referendum 3 months 🗓️ Validating a new Constitution
Presidential Elections 3 months 🗓️ Change of Leadership

Transfer of Power

6 months

🗓️

Peaceful transfer of power

Obstacles to the success of political reform and levers for overcoming them

Despite careful planning, several challenges remain to ensure the success of this transition. Widespread mistrust, fueled by a history of corruption, impunity, and foreign influence, constitutes a major obstacle. Indeed, certain actors close to the government or from the opposition could seek to destabilize the process to protect their interests. Combating impunity, particularly through the removal of corrupt officials and the fight against organized crime, is becoming a priority to restore the credibility of the process.

At the same time, international pressure, especially from the OIF (International Organisation of La Francophonie) and financial partners, must be leveraged to encourage strict adherence to the rules stemming from the commitments made. Transparency in the handling of sensitive issues, such as the recovery of ill-gotten gains or the fight against the exodus of influential leaders, is essential to lend credibility to the reform and avoid any resurgence of past crises.

Finally, adopting an inclusive communication plan, sensitive to the concerns of the various social groups, will help build a consensus-based dynamic. The ability to establish a sincere dialogue, while avoiding populism or manipulation, will be key to transforming this ambition into a tangible reality. The strategy must also aim to unite all stakeholders around a common project, ensuring they have a place in this shared vision of regeneration.

What are the key elements of the strategic roadmap for political reform in Madagascar?

The roadmap includes broad public consultation, electoral reform, a constitutional referendum, followed by presidential elections and a peaceful transfer of power, all spread over 24 months to ensure an orderly transition.

How can public consultation strengthen the legitimacy of the process?

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